Central Bank

Exclusive: ECB Insider: March Forecast Revision Unlikely To Be as Big as Market Thinks

Exclusive: ECB Insider: March Forecast Revision Unlikely To Be as Big as Market Thinks

Further Significant Hikes May Be Necessary To Contain Sticky Core Inflation, Nagel Says

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said on Friday that core inflation looked set to remain high for a prolonged period of time in the euro area, potentially necessitating further significant interest rate hikes.

Rapid Rate Hikes Leave ECB Facing Losses as Interest Costs Rose and Asset Values Fell in 2022

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Central Bank announced on Thursday that it incurred losses of over €1.6 billion in 2022, a deficit it had to compensate for using funds from its provision for financial risks.

KfW Does Not Currently See Issuance Increase in 2023; Plans to Issue New 10Y EUR Soon, Perhaps in Q1

Exclusive: KfW: Don’t See Issuance Increase in 2023; Plan to Issue New 10Y EUR Soon, Perhaps in Q1

ECB Not Obliged to Hike at Every Meeting Until September, Villeroy Says

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau said on Wednesday that the ECB was not necessarily going to raise rates at each one of its five monetary policy meetings between now and September, by which month he expects rate hikes to end.

ECB Insight: Monetary Policy Very Much on the Mind in Northern Finland

ECB Insight: Monetary Policy Very Much on the Mind in Northern Finland

They Said It About the Policy Outlook - Recent Comments of ECB Governing Council Members

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The following is a compendium of comments made by European Central Bank Governing Council members related to the appropriate pace of upcoming ECB monetary policy tightening. We include only comments made since the December 15 Council meeting.

ECB’s Lagarde: We Will Not Be Weak on Inflation, Wage Negotiations Now a Key Variable

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde reiterated on Wednesday her determination to fight inflation and doubled down on the ECB’s data-dependent approach to monetary policy.

ECB’s Rehn Calls for Rate Hikes Beyond March, Sees Terminal Rate Reached in Summer

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Central Bank needs to hike interest rates beyond March in view of high core inflation, but should reach the terminal rate in the summer, ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn said on Friday.

Bundesbank: Second-Round Effects From Wages To Keep Inflation Above 2% for Extended Period

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Underlying inflation pressures are likely to remain persistent in the euro area, with wage increases leading to second-round effects on prices, the German Bundesbank said on Monday.

ECB Hawk-Dove Ranking: Vujčić Ranked as Mildly Hawkish

ECB’s Schnabel: 50BP Hike in March ‘Necessary Under Virtually All Plausible Scenarios’

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Central Bank will almost inevitably have to hike interest rates by 50bp next month, when it might provide some indication of its subsequent policy moves, according to ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel on Friday.

ECB’s Villeroy: Interest Rates Should Peak by September; Need Core Inflation Turnaround To Stop Hiking

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau on Friday said that the ECB should hit the terminal rate by the end of September, and left open the size of any rate hikes beyond March’s likely 50bp increase.

ECB Must Be Much More Persistent; Far From Done With Rate Hikes, Nagel Says

By Xavier D’Arcy – BERLIN (Econostream) – The European Central Bank should remain persistent in tackling high inflation, as the effort to restore price stability is far from being finished, Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said on Thursday.

ECB’s Lane: Monetary Policy Adjustment ‘Clearly Tightening Financial Conditions’

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Central Bank’s monetary tightening has been exerting a clear impact, ECB Executive Board member Philip Lane said Thursday.

ECB Sees Faster Wage Growth, But Underlying Inflation Subsiding

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – Wage growth in the euro area has picked up in recent months, with the assumptions underlying the European Central Bank’s December projections being confirmed by the latest developments in the labour market, the ECB said on Thursday.

ECB’s Panetta: We Need To Take Into Account Risk of Overtightening

By Xavier D’Arcy – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said on Thursday that policymakers should be aware of the risk of overreacting and that smaller, non-mechanical rate hikes would allow monetary policy to avoid costly mistakes.

ECB’s Stournaras: Next Policy Steps to Hinge on Forecasts; Data Indicate Inflation De-escalation

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras on Thursday said that the next set of ECB staff macroeconomic forecasts would determine the further course of monetary policy, and that there were indications of an improved outlook on the inflation front.

ECB Insight: de Cos Sets the Stage for Worrying Not Just About Risk of Doing Too Little

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Pablo Hernández de Cos’ latest remarks are a reminder that the ECB is not going to hike by 50bp forever and that March, whilst probably not the time to decelerate, could be the right moment for authorities to start giving more consideration to the increasing risks of doing too much too fast.

ECB’s de Cos: To Be in Better Position to Determine Proper Policy Path With March Forecasts

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – The European Central Bank will be better able to decide how monetary policy should evolve with the benefit of updated inflation forecasts available in March, Governing Council member Pablo Hernández de Cos said Wednesday.