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ECB'S Panetta: We’ll Do Everything We Have To, Within Our Mandate

ECB'S Panetta: We’ll Do Everything We Have To, Within Our Mandate

16th March 2020 By David Barwick - FRANKFURT (EconoStream) – The European Central Bank will counter the current crisis with whatever actions within its mandate it deems necessary, including a further deposit rate cut, ECB Executive Board member Fabio...

16 March 2020 Central Bank News
ECB’s Lagarde: Euro Area Economies Facing a Major Shock

ECB’s Lagarde: Euro Area Economies Facing a Major Shock

12th March 2020 By David Barwick - FRANKFURT (EconoStream) – Economies around the world, including those of the Eurozone, face a severe shock as a result of the coronavirus, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said Thursday. Speaking at...

12 March 2020 Central Bank News
ECB March Meeting Preview: Injecting More Stimulus

ECB March Meeting Preview: Injecting More Stimulus

11th March 2020 Policy Announcement: Thurs March 12th, 12:45 GMT / 08:45 ET;  Press Conf: 13:30 GMT / 09:30 ET Current Rates: Deposit -0.50%, Main Refinancing 0.00%, Marginal Lending Facility 0.25%. In Brief:

  • Expectations for the ECB to react to
...

11 March 2020 Central Bank News
Bank of England Cuts Rates by 50bp

Bank of England Cuts Rates by 50bp

11th March 2020  LONDON (EconoStream) – The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) this morning announced an emergency rate cut of 50bp down to 0.25% outside of their usual policy meeting schedule in response to the Covid-19 outbreak.  The Bank...

11 March 2020 Central Bank News
ECB’s de Guindos: Coronavirus Adds New Uncertainty to GDP Outlook

ECB’s de Guindos: Coronavirus Adds New Uncertainty to GDP Outlook

2nd March 2020 By David Barwick - LONDON (EconoStream) – The coronavirus has injected a new element of uncertainty into prospects for growth that had just begun to look brighter, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said Monday, according...

3 March 2020 Central Bank News
Markets Pricing in Rate Cuts; Speculation of Coordinated Action

Markets Pricing in Rate Cuts; Speculation of Coordinated Action

2nd March 2020 Market speculation is increasing about not only central bank easing in reaction the coronavirus outbreak but even emergency meetings to take place before the next round of scheduled meetings and possible coordination of action.  According...

2 March 2020 Central Bank News
ECB’s Lane: Further Coronavirus Spread a Short-Term Downside Risk

ECB’s Lane: Further Coronavirus Spread a Short-Term Downside Risk

1st March 2020 By David Barwick - LONDON (EconoStream) – The European Central Bank’s staff forecasts may need to reflect the impact of the coronavirus if the spread of the latter is not contained quickly enough, according to ECB Executive Board member...

1 March 2020 Central Bank News
ECB’s Schnabel: Supply Shocks Delaying Return to Price Stability

ECB’s Schnabel: Supply Shocks Delaying Return to Price Stability

29th February 2020 By David Barwick - LONDON (EconoStream) – A more generous definition of the European Central Bank’s policy-relevant medium-term horizon could conceivably be appropriate in view of supply-side shocks that hamper the restoration of price...

29 February 2020 Central Bank News
ECB Meeting Account Shows Council Members Hopeful But Wary

ECB Meeting Account Shows Council Members Hopeful But Wary

At the meeting, which took place January 22-23 and thus before the coronavirus outbreak captured international attention, there was no mention made of the disease and China’s role in the discussion was only in the context of the recent “phase-one” trade agreement between it and the U.S.

21 February 2020 Central Bank News
ECB's Panetta: More Needs to be Done; Inflation Still Below Goal

ECB's Panetta: More Needs to be Done; Inflation Still Below Goal

By David Barwick - BRUSSELS (EconoStream) – With inflation still too low and growth only moderate, the Eurozone continues to need monetary policy support, European Central Bank Executive Board member Fabio Panetta said Tuesday.

20 February 2020 Central Bank News
Hawk / Dove Cheat Sheet

Hawk / Dove Cheat Sheet

EconoStream's subjective views on the hawks and doves at the European Central Bank (ECB), the US Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bank of England (BoE) and a recap on the current and future voting members.  We get asked all the time questions like "is the Fed's Rosengren a hawk or a dove?", "who are the doves on the ECB?" and "are the voters on the FOMC this year more dovish or hawkish?".  Here we answer all these questions.

19 February 2020 Central Bank News
Sources: GPIF Buys USDJPY & Short-End USTs Over Y108, Sells Both at Y110

Sources: GPIF Buys USDJPY & Short-End USTs Over Y108, Sells Both at Y110

6th February 2020 Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund — the world’s largest pension fund — buys the US dollar/ yen (buy US$/sell yen) and then use those proceeds to buys short-end US Treasuries on an unhedged basis, when the US$/yen is about Y108,...

7 February 2020 Central Bank News
FOMC Market View?  Virus Risks Subside to Reduce Easing Expectations

FOMC Market View? Virus Risks Subside to Reduce Easing Expectations

Risk off mentality in the markets reached a recent peak on Friday with focus in particular on risks around the further spread of Coronavirus.  At the close of Friday, OIS markets were predicting 2 full 25bp FOMC interest rate cuts over the next year (see below for a full explanation of what this means).

6 February 2020 Central Bank News
Bank of England Market View? Market Expects Less Dovish MPC

Bank of England Market View? Market Expects Less Dovish MPC

The market retains a dovish bias to its expectations – the next move is expected to be a cut rather than a hike, but now the market sees limited chance of a cut at the March meeting, is 50/50 for a cut at the next Monetary Policy Report meeting in May while just 26bp of cuts are priced in by year end – 7bp less than was the case earlier this week.

31 January 2020 Central Bank News
Gilts Slammed After Bank of England Meeting

Gilts Slammed After Bank of England Meeting

31st  January 2020 Gilts were slammed by the BoE meeting, which turned out to be a modestly hawkish-hold. Vote was 7-2 to keep stable. Bank spoke of rebound in global growth and bounce in the UK. The next cut is now only fully priced for December...

31 January 2020 Central Bank News
FOMC Market View?  Higher Chance of Cuts After January Meeting

FOMC Market View? Higher Chance of Cuts After January Meeting

The January FOMC meeting played out largely as-expected with the target range unchanged but the Reverse Repo Rate (RRP) & Interest on Excess Reserves (IOER) adjusted higher by +5bps.  Market reaction saw yields slide further across the curve...

30 January 2020 Central Bank News
BoE January Preview: Everyone agrees, very close call on rates

BoE January Preview: Everyone agrees, very close call on rates

29th January 2020 Thursday, January 30th: Policy Decision & MPR release: 12:00 GMT; Press conference 12:30 GMT Current Policy: Bank Rate: 0.75%; Asset Purchase Programme: £435bn; Corp Bond Purchases: up to £10bn In Brief:

  • Analysts
...

29 January 2020 Central Bank News