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ECB Tone Meter Update: Governing Council Tone Rises Above 0 for First Time This Cycle, Entering Marginally Hawkish Territory

ECB Tone Meter Update: Governing Council Tone Rises Above 0 for First Time This Cycle, Entering Marginally Hawkish Territory

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – The ECB’s Governing Council’s tone in the ECB Tone Meter moved above 0 on Wednesday for the first time this cycle, following comments from an Executive Board member who opened the door to an interest rate hike as the next move and a shift by several previously dovish Council members who now explicitly support holding rates steady in December.

10 December 2025
ECB’s Villeroy: Wise to Keep Rates Steady, No Reason to Expect Hike in Near Term

ECB’s Villeroy: Wise to Keep Rates Steady, No Reason to Expect Hike in Near Term

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau said on Wednesday that it would likely be “wise” to keep interest rates at their current levels for now while maintaining flexibility, adding that there was no reason to a expect a hike in the near future.

10 December 2025
ECB’s Šimkus: No Need for Further Rate Cuts as Economy Proves Resilient

ECB’s Šimkus: No Need for Further Rate Cuts as Economy Proves Resilient

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus said Wednesday that ECB interest rates don’t need to be lowered further, pointing to stronger-than-expected economic activity and inflation close to the ECB’s medium-term target.

10 December 2025
ECB’s Makhlouf: Confident Inflation Will Be at Target Over Medium Term

ECB’s Makhlouf: Confident Inflation Will Be at Target Over Medium Term

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Gabriel Makhlouf on Wednesday expressed confidence that euro area inflation will converge to the ECB’s 2% target over the medium term, according to remarks published by the Central Bank of Ireland (CBI).

10 December 2025
ECB’s Nagel Sees AI as Both Analytical Tool and Emerging Macroeconomic Force

ECB’s Nagel Sees AI as Both Analytical Tool and Emerging Macroeconomic Force

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Joachim Nagel on Tuesday underscored both the opportunities and challenges posed by rapid advances in artificial intelligence, arguing that central banks must embrace the technology while remaining anchored in their public mandates.

9 December 2025
ECB’s Rehn: Medium-Term Inflation Risks Slightly Tilted to Downside

ECB’s Rehn: Medium-Term Inflation Risks Slightly Tilted to Downside

By David Barwick – FRANKFURT (Econostream) – European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn on Saturday said medium-term inflation risks were “slightly tilted to the downside,” with subdued energy prices, a stronger euro and moderating services and wage pressures weighing on the outlook.

7 December 2025
ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Slight Dovish Turn in the Week of 1-5 December

ECB Tone Meter Weekly Update: Slight Dovish Turn in the Week of 1-5 December

By Marta Vilar – MADRID (Econostream) – The ECB Tone Meter moved slightly dovish this week, with the Governing Council reading at -0.12, which we classify as broadly neutral but still with a marginal dovish tilt, and the Executive Board at +0.05, which we view as neutral with a very marginal hawkish lean.

5 December 2025